Sunday, July 31, 2022
Saturday, July 30, 2022
Some Covid news from Australia
Three myths about COVID-19 — and the biggest challenge that lies ahead “So what's my plan, now that I know the risk of heart problems and other poor health outcomes is just as high on a second or third infection, and in the absence of a vaccine to stop BA.5 infection?
I'm dropping my COVID hubris and donning a mask.”
Thursday, July 28, 2022
Wednesday, July 27, 2022
Monday, July 25, 2022
Sunday, July 24, 2022
Saturday, July 23, 2022
Thursday, July 21, 2022
Monday, July 18, 2022
Coronavirus reinfections
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01914-6 ‘
One coronavirus infection wards off another — but only if it’s a similar variant’
Sunday, July 17, 2022
Saturday, July 16, 2022
Americans advised to leave Ukraine
Is mentioned as the evidence that the war won’t stop anytime soon. Serbian President Vucic: “I know what awaits us. As soon as Vladimir Putin has done his work in Seversk, Bakhmut and Soledar, after reaching the second line Slaviansk-Kramatorsk-Avdeevka, he will come up with a proposal. And if they [the West] don’t accept it, – and they won’t – all hell will break loose.” It seems that this has become an existential threat to both Russia and America.
Dmitry Orlov speaks
Old way, new way He comments several times in the discussion, seems to be an acerbic old man.
Friday, July 15, 2022
Another update from military summary
A discussion of the Himars threat by Lonewolf in the comments here https://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-back-to-hot-steel-rain/#comment-1121839
Thursday, July 14, 2022
The rule of nihilists
Xi Jinping’s speech from January 2013 by Branko Milanovic in Globalinequality blog.
“Two points are worth highlighting. Xi’s interpretation of the end of the Soviet Union, and his accent on ideology.
Xi sees the break-up of the Soviet Union and the end of the CPSU as the result of “ideological nihilism”: the ruling strata have ceased to believe in the advantages and the value of the system, but lacked any other ideological coordinates within which to situate their thinking. (Incidentally, I have noticed that when I recently read Andrei Kozyrev’s, Yeltsin’s minister of foreign affairs, book of memoirs, reviewed here;the book is striking by its total absence of any ideology.)
Here is Xi: “Why did the Soviet Union disintegrate? Why did the Communist Party of the Soviet Union fall to pieces? An important reason is that in the ideological domain, competition is fierce! To completely repudiate the historical experience of the Soviet Union, to repudiate the history of the CPSU, to repudiate Lenin, to repudiate Stalin was to wreck chaos in Soviet ideology and engage in historical nihilism. It caused Party organizations at all levels to have barely any function whatsoever. It robbed the Party of its leadership of the military. In the end the CPSU — as great a Party as it was — scattered like a flock of frightened beasts! The Soviet Union — as great a socialist state as it was — shattered into pieces.”
The lack of belief in the system stemmed from the failure of the Soviet Union in the economic arena, and inability to propose a system of participation in the decision-making that appealed to, or was acceptable to, most of its population. The roots of the debacle were both economic and ideological. Once the party loses the control of the ideology, Xi argues, once it fails to provide a satisfactory explanation for its own rule, objectives and purposes, it dissolves into a party of loosely connected individuals linked only by personal goals of enrichment and power.”
Tuesday, July 12, 2022
Latest from ‘military summary’
Not much change in the ground situation
Similar assessment here https://youtu.be/6vDwjTGYE_8
Friday, July 08, 2022
Reviving old mango trees
𝗘𝗺𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗼𝗿 𝗔𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗴𝘇𝗲𝗯'𝘀 𝗹𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗼 𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝘁𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗠𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗵 𝗦𝗮𝗹𝗲𝗵
French tourist Bernier writes that when Aurangzeb was a child, Shah Jahan appointed a scholar, Mullah Saleh, to be his teacher. Once Aurangzeb Alamgir’s education was complete, Mullah Saleh submitted a thorough report to Shah Jahan that the prince had access to all sciences, different languages and he has strengthened his mind with political philosophy. Shah Jahan was happy and rewarded Mullah Saleh with agricultural lands near Kabul. He happily accepted and settled there. Many years passed before Mullah Saleh heard the news of the first civil war and then the victory of his student Aurangzeb Alamgir.
Thursday, July 07, 2022
Yves Smith on Ukraine
The Coming Sanctions-Induced Economic Tsunami?
“Today I am risking being too glib, but my excuse is aspiring to meet the Einstein standard, “Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler.” It’s not hard to see that as rough as economic conditions are now, they are set to get worse. And it’s not hard to see that despite the considerable blowback from the sanctions against Russia, the West is not going to relent.
Here’s a simple baseline forecast. Russia wins in Ukraine. The West may try to define it somehow as not a victory, but it’s hard to see how Russia does not take the entire Black Sea coast plus Ukraine east of the Dneiper by the end of the year, and I hazard to guess sooner, say October-November. What Russia decides to do with the western part is path dependent and so in play (consider how possible military coup/Zelensky flight, Democratic November wipeout, rising political strife in Europe, Poland deciding to get expansionist could all factor into Russian decisions).”
Wednesday, July 06, 2022
Putin’s oligarchs
It is not clear to me what his economic policies are though they seem successful at the moment. He does not seem to be a communist. John Helmer Indi tea that he is soft on oligarchs. Here is a post which is linked by Larry Johnson, I think Meet Russia’s Oligarchs, A Group Of Men Who Won’t Be Toppling Putin Anytime Soon
Tuesday, July 05, 2022
Near future In the Ukraine war, quagmire
“On the other side, Russian progress on the ground and the intensifying attrition of Ukrainian forces offer no incentive to halt the war and simply settle for its original, probably minimal war goals of ‘denazification’ and ‘demiitarization of Ukraine and seizing all Donbass up to the administrative borders of Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk regions – the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DNR and LNR) as they are regarded in Moscow, Crimea, and Donbass – in support of their independence recognized by Moscow three days before its invasion. Every inch of territory Moscow seizes beyond the former ‘occupied territories’, as regarded by Kiev, including the additional Donetsk and Luhansk regional territories makes implementation of a ceasefire and withdrawal more complicated. They also make Kiev less likely to negotiate in the short- to mid-term, in lieu of an almost inevitable existential threat to the Ukrainian state such as it exists. By that time there will be a rump Ukraine territorially, a decimated Ukraine economically, and an unstable Ukraine politically.” from Avoiding a Russian Quagmire, the Improbable Ukrainian Peace, and the Risk of Direct Russo-NATO War
Another https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/06/how-to-lose-big-in-ukraine/
Monday, July 04, 2022
Some celebrations
From a comment in Saker’s blog: Some videos for today.
The Victory Banner was raised over the LPR town of Belogorovka, completing the liberation of 100% of the LPR’s territory:
https://rutube.ru/video/88b869e04652d0c1d263640b252b16d6/
Chechen troops greeted in liberated Lisichansk:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/vINfmtTZ8GEe/
Another video showing the people of Lisichansk greeting their liberators:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/94jjm1PKsvRj/
Abandoned Kiev regime trenches near Lisichansk:
https://rutube.ru/video/ab0bb32efc8b899be6ec4e5cb4f449dd/
Shows troops clearing out Lisichansk:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/juUD8B2VKzz3/
Russian artillery taking out a US-supplied M777 howitzer:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/CEwg2RAJJEZS/
US mercenaries admit to suffering casualties in recent video:
Friday, July 01, 2022
Russia gives up snake island
Russia makes 'goodwill gesture' to alleviate food crisis
May be this is one of the differences between the sides. Russia is prepared to cut its losses and proceed Whereis Ukraine seems unwillining to give up untenable positions.