Thursday, December 29, 2022

Update from Military Summary

 It seems that Russians are grinding their way through Eastern Ukraine


Some speculations from The Duran, some about trap for Poland

 When not much is happening on the ground



Sunday, December 25, 2022

Merry Christmas

 Reading tea leaves: military part of the Ukraine crisis will be over by next summer with Russia prevailing. Political and economic adjustments will go on for at least ten years. No nuclear flare up; too much money at stake for the military industrial complex.



Saturday, December 24, 2022

Friday, December 23, 2022

Transcripts of Putin latest events

 

From a comment in MoA (I have not read them yet) 

 “transcripts of Putin's latest events, today's presser and the Council of State Meeting that preceded it. That makes for five very important events this week that started with Russia's Meetings Plan for Tomorrow: Council for Strategic Development and National Projects, ‘

A brief discussion at The Duran. Wide ranging discussion of various factions in US and changing attitudes of different countries in Europe.



A question which keeps coming up is whether there will be nuclear confrontation. My guess that it is unlikely since there will be no profits for the military industrial congressional complex.

Mike Whitney says that there will be escalation in Ukraine

 Why Putin's Winter Offensive Will Prompt US Entry Into the War

Douglas Macgregor article quoted by Mike Whitney Washington Is Prolonging Ukraine's Suffering

Thursday, December 22, 2022

The beginnings of Putin era

 This article seems to be written soon after 200 based on work done during that year.Putin’s path to power by Peter Rutland.

(Putin's Path to Power

Pages 313-354 | Published online: 15 May 2013

Post-Soviet Affairs 

Volume 16, 2000 - Issue 4)

The end according to Scott Ritter

 


Wednesday, December 21, 2022

A discussion with Jeffrey Sachs by’The Duran’

 Jeffrey Sachs had a ringside seat with Russia since Gorbachev and Yeltsin times. He has been involved in in economic development issues as an advisor to various country from Poland and Russia to Latin America. As far as I can see, his record is mixed. The response fromWashington to his suggestions were positive in the case Poland and negative in the case of Russia, he says. He attributes this to the influence of neocons. In the discussion there is not much about the attitude of other Eastern European countries; the role of nationalism as well as the attitude of the nations to the then attractive side of western life. Module this, it seems to correspond to the opinions of various people like Douglas Macegregor, Alexander Mercouris, Scott Ritter and others that we have been following. The general feel is now Russia has an upper hand and cannot really loose unless there are unexpected developments like nuclear options.




Sunday, December 18, 2022

A comment from Moon of Alabama about controlling the oligarchs.

 Though Chinese trajectory to wealth is known, Russian trajectory is not clear. It certainly had an industrial base which might not have been very efficient. The following comment give some plausible reasons.

@wagelaborer 14

You misunderstand China is and Russia too.

87% of China's economy is owned by regional banks which are responsible for recycling profits directly into their regional economies. Basically an inversion of the capitalist system where the bulk of the capital serves the oligarchs, with a tiny trickle going to the workers and even less supporting the public sector.

This is how China has sustained its growth while financing urbanization, public infrastructure and facilities, increased median income almost ten times over since the 1990s, eliminated extreme poverty and almost eliminated poverty in all but the most rural backwaters.

In China the billionaires step very carefully, because they know that they, along with any politicians they suborn, are, if caught engaging in corrupt practices, likely to be tried, and if found guilty, executed pour encourager les autres.

As for Russia, the post-Soviet jewish-Ukrainian oligarchs who looted the public and purchased the government enabling them to make out like bandits under Yeltsin (principally buying up Soviet assets for pennies on the dollar using funds from the USA and Israel see e.g. Braguinsky Serguey (2009). Postcommunist Oligarchs in Russia: Quantitative Analysis. The Journal of Law and Economics. 2009 52:2, 307-349) were decimated under Putin, who offered the семибанкирщина (Seven Bankers, six jewish) and other oligarchs a simple choice. Stay out of politics or join their dead, jailed, exiled or bankrupted peers (See e.g. Harding Luke (2007-07-02). The richer they come: Can Russia's oligarchs keep their billions - and their freedom? The Guardian). 

Posted by: Hermit | Dec 17 2022 22:05 utc | 

So the moral May be control the oligarchs. The remark is from the thread https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/12/ukraine-sitrep-more-missiles-attack-plans-artillery-hits-morale.html#comments

Why White and not Keynes? Inventing the postwar monetary system

 IMF working paper 2002. Keynes comes out as a British imperialist, I think.

Postwar monetary system

Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Patriot missiles for Ukraine

 They were used by Saudi Arabia but Yemen seems to have managed well against them. Here is Brian Berletic about the possibilities of profits for Lockheed-Martin.



Saturday, December 10, 2022

Wednesday, December 07, 2022

States vs centre, a book review from The Outlook

 North vs South india

Missiles Ukraine, drones Russia etc from Alexander Christoforou

 Alexander Christoforou attributes the current escalation to the recent visit of Victoria Nuland to Kiev


Saturday, December 03, 2022

Lack of understanding of Russia

Scott Ritter explains the problems of negotiations with Russia



Situation on the ground

 In Ukraine and Taiwan and China with Patrick Lancaster and Alex at Reporterfy