United States will either devolve into civil war or secession by the year 2030, saysSimplicius the thinker

 Seems a bit far fetched to me.On secession and civil war. The are also predictions by Peter Turchin and others.

The World Doesn’t Work That Way Anymore

From Alaistar Crooke Excerpt:

“ The Anglo-American approach is premised on the basis that the ultimate measure of a society is its level of consumption. In the long run however, List argued, a society's well-being and its overall wealth are determined not by what the society can buy, but by what it can make (i.e. value arising from a real, self-sufficient economy). The German school argued that emphasizing consumption would eventually be self-defeating; it would bias the system away from wealth creation, and ultimately make it impossible to consume as much, or to employ so many.

List was prescient. This is the flaw so clearly now exposed in the Anglo model: the original failing now aggravated by massive financialization -- a process that has led to the building of an inverted pyramid of derivative financial ‘products’ which has sucked the oxygen from the manufacture of real output.  Self-reliance erodes, and a shrinking base of real wealth creation supports ever-smaller numbers in adequately-paid employment.”

Yeltsin first meeting with Putin

 When we met for the first time, why did Putin conquer Yeltsin? "This man must go to Moscow!"

Latest from Simplicius the thinker

 Supreme EUCOM Commander Gives Eye-Opening

A brief review of ‘Underground Empire’

 Farrell and Newman are experts in their field, but this book will fail to convince many readers.

I think that is what we have been seeing in the recent conflicts.

A review of a book by Cory Doctorow

“Red Team Blues” and the As-You-Know-Bob problem

Yalavarthi Nayudamma

 

The above in Telugu. Here is one Englsh https://www.ias.ac.in/article/fulltext/reso/019/10/0887-0899

I saw him oncevon the main road of Pedapulivarru. He already was well known in those parts.

Conversation with Alastair Crooke

 

Biden announces re-election bid

 

Update in indo-Russian relations from Bhadrakumar

 Pivotal moment in India-Russia relations

A discussion of lack of political parties in Europe with Václav Klaus

 

S.Janaki about her career

 She is now 85.

Craig Roberts on Ukraine, a different view from Scott Ritter

 

The collapse of antiquity, anew book by Michael Hudson

 Danny Haiphong and Michael Hudson Discuss The Collapse of Antiquity, the Bank Panic,

Next China?

 

Neocons seem to have given up on Ukraine, tried a bit in Sudan but the main goal seems to be to tame China.

Update from Simplicius the thinker

 He expects that the Ukraine war may go on until 2030.

SITREP 4/18/23: Dark Clouds Roll In, As Things Heat Up

How do planes fly?

 No One Can Explain Why Planes Stay in the Air

Debt of poor countries

How China Is Breaking The Colonial Effects Of Western LendingBased on this discussion Of Radhika Desai and Michael Hudson

Russia-India Strategic Partnership w/ Ambassador Venkatesh Varma, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen

 

Latest from Simplicius the thinker

 https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-41223-offensiveor-collapse

The effect of sanctions on the Russian economy

 https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/04/james-k-galbraith-the-gift-of-sanctions-an-analysis-of-assessments-of-the-russian-economy-2022-2023.html

Impact of fiscal vs monetary policies in Australia

 And building industry collapses

Another view of Ukraine counteroffensive from ‘historylegends’

 

And a recent video https://youtu.be/tUy17lrscrc

Military Summary on Bakhmut and other fights on the front

 

Big Serge on Pentagon leaks

 Leak Biopsy

Scott Ritter on Wagner

 

Nato Plans for Ukraine Leaked

MAJOR: Nato Plans for Ukraine Leaked 

“As many of you have likely heard, a major leak from U.S. DOD headquarters has just occurred the day before yesterday. Initially, I wasn’t going to cover it because there was a strong chance it could be fake, and it’s not worth the effort of a full deep-dive for a document of questionable origin/validity. 

However, now the Pentagram has confirmed the validity of the documents, as they’re now panickedly trying to scrub the internet of them….

Some concluding thoughts to wrap it up: 

My biggest takeaway from it all, is that the AFU’s supposed ‘coming offensive’ is truly a last hurrah, even more than we imagined. The reason is twofold: 

1. Firstly, their numbers in general appear much lower in every regard. Not only is the manpower extremely low, but the Western equipment numbers are incredibly paltry compared to what was originally promised long ago. 

2. And then, the second biggest story is how bad the shape of their AD missile stockpiles appear to be. With the high rate of consumption, they appear to be on the verge of complete defenselessness. 

The story this paints is one of a last ditch hurrah. Firstly, it’s clear that the ‘main’ offensive cannot happen until early May at the earliest, because that’s when the last needed tank deliveries were scheduled for, according to these documents.L”

The leaks may be legitimate but not completely accurate says https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LP3C7JawnA

Some funny Bollywood songs

 The secret ingredient of funny Bollywood songs

Some questions and answers with Scott Ritter, some about Israel

 

Spring offensive in western Ukraine?

 

Moving fast towards a multipolar world

 

Update from Scott Ritter on Bakhmut, spring offensive and Wagner outfit

 

Simplicius on the Russian economy

 The Truth About Russia's Economic Power: Is It Really as Small and Weak as the West Claims?

GrayZone on the Putin arrest warrant

 ICC’s Putin arrest warrant based on State Dept-funded report that debunked itself