Thursday, December 10, 2020

From Noah Smith

 https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/the-super-scary-theory-of-the-21st?fbclid=IwAR3ZfMVAT-PBypx6aIsah0TurRsghUTYFxsgbveW-ZZdc7Nt6L0XAMvcWKw

About a scary theory of the new century “ The 2019 protests that rocked every region of the planet had no real unifying theme. They included separatist movements, protests against economic inequality, protests against authoritarianism, and even climate protests. The huge, unprecedented protests in the U.S. a year later were about police brutality. I’m not sure anyone ever figured out what the protests in France were about. 

If there’s one “silver bullet” explanation for why protests are erupting all over the world, it’s technology. Social media dramatically lowers the cost of both organizing a protest and spreading a protest-related ideology. Martin Gurri’s The Revolt of the Publicand Zeynep Tufekci’s Twitter and Tear Gas are essential reading on this topic. 

Big protests create instability and can paralyze governments — or even, as we saw with the color revolutions, overthrow them. Great-power conflict in the 21st century might simply be about outlasting your opponents — holding out longer against the naturally bubbling forces of internal dissent. “

So then the question becomes: If social media driven protests are a permanent feature of the modern age, what sort of institutions and technology allow governments to resist the resulting instability?

And I’m not sure we’ll like the answer.

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