Friday, May 22, 2009

Contrasting views on Indian elections

Vijay Prashad in Counter Punch The Indian Elections: a Game Changer
India KnoledgeWharton After the Elections: What's Next on India's Economic Agenda?.
Some detailed and careful analysis from Qalandar.
And ongoing analysis in Sundeep Dougal's Outlook blog. Some surprises: in the new Lok Saba"There are 390 graduates and above, with 23 doctorates and 130 Post graduates" "But there are still 153 MPs with criminal charges, 74 of which are serious."
P.s. (May 25th)The Hour Of The Untamed Cosmopolitan by Ashish Nandy.

3 comments:

Rahul Siddharthan said...

I've always found Vijay Prashad a pompous and ill-informed windbag, and this one is no different. Right at the beginning, where he says this is the first time since the 1960s that the Congress has come to power without being propped up by allies, I figured it's time to stop reading... I assume he has rehashed multiple articles he has read and has somehow mutated another factoid from the 1960s into this one (1961 was the last time a prime minister returned to power after serving a full term).

gaddeswarup said...

Thanks R.S. I as just recording different 'analyses' to see whether one can understand why and how Congress won. Whether the left had some effect on Congress policies which won them new votes and whether they will continue with the inclusive policies after the weakening of the left. Qalandar has details about A.P. and it appears that there are still identity politics but the vote split among them; Congress and TDP vote actually declined from 2004, but both won more splits. The new entrant PRP has 16 percent of the vote and it is not clear what percentages they gained from Congress and TDP. Even Lok Satta seems to have made a difference in few seats. It has some Kamma following; Gadde Ramamohana Rao lost by 1500 votes in a seat where Lok Satta had about 7500 votes. T.R.S. Seems to have different messages for state and centre. So the message from A.P. is not clear.
Studying state by state as the data comes in may give a better overall picture.
Another thing that interests me is the case of Binayak Sen. There were reports that Manmohan Singh tried to influence the state govt. earlier and failed. May be he has better chances now.

gaddeswarup said...

Sorry; there are differences in the Assembly and Parliment votes; Congress did better in the parliment votes.