Sunday, June 25, 2006

Living from a suitcase

Since a trip last October, I have been living from a suitcase. One of the daughters moved back and all the bedrooms in the house are taken up. In the nights, I move my mattress, a few books and laptop to the rumpus room and when my wife takes over the room in the day time try to I find some room wherever in the house. It is bit like the situation of some Japanese derelicts living in stations each near a pole which I saw long ago. I try to pretend that this gives me some glimpse of how the other half lives and keep reading and thinking about social change.

So many great minds have thought about social change before and what hope do I have of solving these problems. Unfortunately one has to vote, think about jobs for near and dear and take a stand sometimes and it seems that one has to think about the decisions of various people around the world. With so much information, it seems possible to support any stand one takes and one usually ends up forming opinions which seem beneficial and at the same time makes one feel moral and a bit better than most others. One tries to confirm and strengthen such good feelings by gossip. In any case, the world seems so complex that it is impossible to have informed opinion on every issue. But we have some idea and consensus on what are good in life and institutions and if one can develop some ways of quantifying such things, it may be possible to make some decisions and formulate flexible courses of actions. Robert Putnam has been trying to do such measurements in terms of what he calls ‘social capital’. From his 1995 article “Bowling Alone” part of which appeared in:
http://usinfo.state.gov/journals/itdhr/0796/ijde/putnam.htm
“Recently, American social scientists of a neo-Tocquevillean bent have unearthed a wide range of empirical evidence that the quality of public life and the performance of social institutions (and not only in America) are indeed powerfully influenced by norms and networks of civic engagement. Researchers in such fields as education, urban poverty, unemployment, the control of crime and drug abuse, and even health have discovered that successful outcomes are more likely in civically engaged communities. Similarly, research on the varying economic attainments of different ethnic groups in the United States has demonstrated the importance of social bonds within each group. These results are consistent with research in a wide range of settings that demonstrates the vital importance of social networks for job placement and many other economic outcomes.
No doubt the mechanisms through which civic engagement and social connectedness produce such results as better schools, faster economic development, lower crime, and more effective government are multiple and complex. While these briefly recounted findings require further confirmation and perhaps qualification, the parallels across hundreds of empirical studies in a dozen disparate disciplines and subfields are striking. Social scientists in several fields have recently suggested a common framework for understanding these phenomena, a framework that rests on the concept of social capital. By analogy with notions of physical capital and human capital -- tools and training that enhance individual productivity -- "social capital" refers to features of social organization such as networks, norms, and social trust that facilitate coordination and cooperation for mutual benefit.”
Putnam has studied measurements and development of social capital in three books and some web sites. The books are “Making Democracy Work”, “Bowling Alone” and “Better Together”. I read the last, browsed through the second and have not yet seen the first, which is supposed to be the best of the lot. In “Bowling Alone” he gives exhaustive statistics to show the decline of social capital in USA since around 1965. In the third book, he gives diverse examples of organizations which raised social capital in their communities; Valley Interfaith in Southern Texas working for the education of migrant children, branch libraries in Chicago, Tupelo model in Southern Mississippi developing an impoverished agricultural community to a thriving semi-industrial community etc. The last mentioned case is impressive though there are fresh conflicts. These are all small scale local phenomena and even the one internet community discussed craigslist.org mainly works in the San Fransisco area though similar sites have sprung up in other towns and cities. One of the main criticisms of Putnam’s programme is that the work is necessarily of local nature and small scale and it is not clear that these can achieve the sort of changes for the whole society which Putnam envisages. See, for example, the reviews:
http://www.la.utexas.edu/chenry/civil/archives95/csspapers/0006.html
http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/boc01/
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/13805

Politicians and even KKK may bring cohesiveness to some communities which may not be palatable for other communities. Moreover there are strange factors about social capital; a war may increase the social capital in a community or a country and prosperity may lessen it as it has done in USA. So, in spite of its apparent measurability, the very concept seems to be rooted in some contradiction. Perhaps, that is the only way we can go.
A more extreme form of social capital called ‘asabiya’ has been studied by a theoretical bioligist Peter Turchin in “War, Peace and War”. Asabiya used by Arab historian Ibn Khladun apparently means ‘collective solidarity’ in Arabic and according to Tutchin “Asabiya of a group is the ability of its members to stick together, to cooperate; it allows a group to protect itself against the enemies, and to impose its will on others” and “Putnam’s social capital is abasiya for democratic societies, with an emphasis on its non-military aspects”. Turchin used this concept of asabiya to study the rise and fall of empires and he also has mathematical studies of various other cycles; see for example the reviews by Herbert Gintis and of a mathematical version of the book byPaul Seabright (The reviews can be found at: http://www.eeb.uconn.edu/faculty/turchin/Clio.htm). Though Turchin’s analysis looks impressive, it is probably not so difficult to cast a net to explain the past and the power of any theory also lies in its predictiveness. In any case, most of Turchin’s study is about agrarian states and we seem to in a completely different set up now. One of the few people who predicted with a fair amount of accuracy seems to be Daniel Bell about the information age but he failed in other predictions (so far):
http://www.newamerica.net/index.cfm?pg=article&DocID=346
http://www.slate.com/id/3123/
People like Jeffrey Sachs (in “The End of Poverty”) have pointed out that over all there is much development in the past two hundred years in all continents and much larger percentage of people are generally living much better now than a few decades ago. Perhaps we should look at progress over 3-4 generations rather than one generation. Is it possible for one person to understand all this and make decisions? Perhaps we need more informed discussions among groups; some way of combining local social capital information of the sort Putnam described with global information and reach through a group of like minded people around the world and concerned about the less privileged. One site which seems to be trying to make such study and provide information in India is www.theotherindia.org/
Perhaps there are more such sites.
For the moment I seem go along with the thoughts about the faults in the texture of existence expressed by Pankaj Mishra in his review of “The Namesake”. I will go back to science where things are a bit more clearer.

7 comments:

Tabula Rasa said...

Nice last line :-) The signal to noise ratio is really low, isn't it? Have you read Jared Diamond? I feel the world needs more people like him, who can span disciplines and demonstrate patterns in data from all over. It's not an easy thing to do -- for example I found Bowling Alone was over-ridden with statistics that made the same point over and over again.

gaddeswarup said...

I read Jared Diamond's "Guns, Germs and Steel" and have been browsing through his other books. He gave some hope that it may be possible to understand some things in broad outline. there is a review and comments by various experts in Brad DeLong's site. Putnam earlier wrote an article with the same title which drew lot of criticism. May be, that is why, he over did the statistics. But parts of it are readable. I have difficulty reading long books (only long one I read in the lasy year is The Prize by Yergin) and tend to browse and come back once in a while. I like Pinker's books but they are too long and sometimes evangelistic. Strangely, I already forgot bits of this post until I saw your message and looked at it again. Same thing happenned with "Tunnel vision". It built up for a couple of months and after I got it out of my system, it did not bother me for a while. Reading it again, I find that I have a slightly different view now.

Tabula Rasa said...

I agree, I too have about 7-8 books lying around which I started and need to finish. And it's interesting that yesterday after posting my comment I was thinking about who else I might classify along with Jared Diamond in the "able to write erudite yet accessible big picture" type of books, and the only other name that came to my mind was Steven Pinker, who I disqualified thinking he's too prone to get into antagonistic positions.

Abi said...

Interesting thoughts, Swarup. Thanks for those links, too.

But I want to comment on Jared Diamond, just to go with the flow here in the comments thread. His way of looking at macro level causes has its share of (rather tough) critics. I am referring here to the Savage Minds, an anthropology group blog. The criticism gets a little too technical at times, but the main point seems to be that explanations based on macro (on geographical scale, non-man-made) phenomena and events lead to an underestimation of small scale, man-made things (such as the role of racism) in the vast socio-economic differences among people living in different regions (I hope I've been faithful in getting across the gist of the discussion there). Do take a look!

Summary page at Savage Minds.

Another summary in Inside HigherEd.

Tabula Rasa said...

Abi:
Thanks a lot for the links! It now seems to me that Collapse has a lot more of the "micro" viewpoint, maybe as a reaction to such criticism?

gaddeswarup said...

Abi,
Thanks for the comments and links. Still going through them and worrying about BT cotton. I do not mean that we should take these big picture scenarios too seriously. Just like with religion, there may be a desire to see the big picture.

Abi said...

Tabula Rasa:
I haven't read any of Diamond's books (like many others, I too have a bunch of books that I really want to read, but am unable to find time for ...). Since his name came up, I just thought I should pass along the relevant links.

Swarup:
Religion and 'big picture'? Hmmm... I have to mull on that. I thought it's as micro as it gets; like something that's absolutely personal.

I agree that, for some people, religion could be the source of a 'big picture' view of their lives. But, when it gets truly macro -- politics, the State and global affairs -- I get scared.