Update from Simplicius the thinker

 SITREP 5/1/23: Massive Missile Strikes Rock Ukraine

United States will either devolve into civil war or secession by the year 2030, saysSimplicius the thinker

 Seems a bit far fetched to me.On secession and civil war. The are also predictions by Peter Turchin and others.

The World Doesn’t Work That Way Anymore

From Alaistar Crooke Excerpt:

“ The Anglo-American approach is premised on the basis that the ultimate measure of a society is its level of consumption. In the long run however, List argued, a society's well-being and its overall wealth are determined not by what the society can buy, but by what it can make (i.e. value arising from a real, self-sufficient economy). The German school argued that emphasizing consumption would eventually be self-defeating; it would bias the system away from wealth creation, and ultimately make it impossible to consume as much, or to employ so many.

List was prescient. This is the flaw so clearly now exposed in the Anglo model: the original failing now aggravated by massive financialization -- a process that has led to the building of an inverted pyramid of derivative financial ‘products’ which has sucked the oxygen from the manufacture of real output.  Self-reliance erodes, and a shrinking base of real wealth creation supports ever-smaller numbers in adequately-paid employment.”

Yeltsin first meeting with Putin

 When we met for the first time, why did Putin conquer Yeltsin? "This man must go to Moscow!"

Latest from Simplicius the thinker

 Supreme EUCOM Commander Gives Eye-Opening

A brief review of ‘Underground Empire’

 Farrell and Newman are experts in their field, but this book will fail to convince many readers.

I think that is what we have been seeing in the recent conflicts.

A review of a book by Cory Doctorow

“Red Team Blues” and the As-You-Know-Bob problem

Yalavarthi Nayudamma

 

The above in Telugu. Here is one Englsh https://www.ias.ac.in/article/fulltext/reso/019/10/0887-0899

I saw him oncevon the main road of Pedapulivarru. He already was well known in those parts.

Conversation with Alastair Crooke

 

Biden announces re-election bid

 

Update in indo-Russian relations from Bhadrakumar

 Pivotal moment in India-Russia relations

A discussion of lack of political parties in Europe with Václav Klaus

 

S.Janaki about her career

 She is now 85.

Craig Roberts on Ukraine, a different view from Scott Ritter

 

The collapse of antiquity, anew book by Michael Hudson

 Danny Haiphong and Michael Hudson Discuss The Collapse of Antiquity, the Bank Panic,

Next China?

 

Neocons seem to have given up on Ukraine, tried a bit in Sudan but the main goal seems to be to tame China.

Update from Simplicius the thinker

 He expects that the Ukraine war may go on until 2030.

SITREP 4/18/23: Dark Clouds Roll In, As Things Heat Up

How do planes fly?

 No One Can Explain Why Planes Stay in the Air

Debt of poor countries

How China Is Breaking The Colonial Effects Of Western LendingBased on this discussion Of Radhika Desai and Michael Hudson

Russia-India Strategic Partnership w/ Ambassador Venkatesh Varma, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen

 

Latest from Simplicius the thinker

 https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-41223-offensiveor-collapse

The effect of sanctions on the Russian economy

 https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/04/james-k-galbraith-the-gift-of-sanctions-an-analysis-of-assessments-of-the-russian-economy-2022-2023.html

Impact of fiscal vs monetary policies in Australia

 And building industry collapses

Another view of Ukraine counteroffensive from ‘historylegends’

 

And a recent video https://youtu.be/tUy17lrscrc

Military Summary on Bakhmut and other fights on the front

 

Big Serge on Pentagon leaks

 Leak Biopsy

Scott Ritter on Wagner

 

Nato Plans for Ukraine Leaked

MAJOR: Nato Plans for Ukraine Leaked 

“As many of you have likely heard, a major leak from U.S. DOD headquarters has just occurred the day before yesterday. Initially, I wasn’t going to cover it because there was a strong chance it could be fake, and it’s not worth the effort of a full deep-dive for a document of questionable origin/validity. 

However, now the Pentagram has confirmed the validity of the documents, as they’re now panickedly trying to scrub the internet of them….

Some concluding thoughts to wrap it up: 

My biggest takeaway from it all, is that the AFU’s supposed ‘coming offensive’ is truly a last hurrah, even more than we imagined. The reason is twofold: 

1. Firstly, their numbers in general appear much lower in every regard. Not only is the manpower extremely low, but the Western equipment numbers are incredibly paltry compared to what was originally promised long ago. 

2. And then, the second biggest story is how bad the shape of their AD missile stockpiles appear to be. With the high rate of consumption, they appear to be on the verge of complete defenselessness. 

The story this paints is one of a last ditch hurrah. Firstly, it’s clear that the ‘main’ offensive cannot happen until early May at the earliest, because that’s when the last needed tank deliveries were scheduled for, according to these documents.L”

The leaks may be legitimate but not completely accurate says https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LP3C7JawnA

Some funny Bollywood songs

 The secret ingredient of funny Bollywood songs

Some questions and answers with Scott Ritter, some about Israel

 

Spring offensive in western Ukraine?

 

Moving fast towards a multipolar world

 

Update from Scott Ritter on Bakhmut, spring offensive and Wagner outfit

 

Simplicius on the Russian economy

 The Truth About Russia's Economic Power: Is It Really as Small and Weak as the West Claims?

GrayZone on the Putin arrest warrant

 ICC’s Putin arrest warrant based on State Dept-funded report that debunked itself

Moves away from US dollar

 

From Simplicius

Bakhmut pincer tightens 

James K Galbraith on bank failures

 What Elizabeth Warren, Larry Summers, and Paul Krugman All Got Wrong About SVB

The india connection

 

Alex Christoforou on similar topics as Simplicius below

 

Simplicius on Legacy Media

 Legacy Media is an Antiquated, Obsolete Relic

Mines, Depleted Uranium, and Important Addendums From Simplicius

 Mines, Depleted Uranium, and Important Addendums

Interview with Kanwal Sibal

 Why India should take the Russia-China summit in its stride

Gilbert describes a Putin interview

 Journalist Pavel Zarubin’s interview with Vladimir Putin, 25 March 2023

"What's Coming IS WORSE THAN A WW3, THIS IS SERIOUS!"

 

Scott Ritter answers some questions

 

Simplicius on the Ukraine counter offensive

SITREP 3/24/23: Offensive Paranoia! 

Scott Ritter on the Ukraine counter offensive around Bakhmut

 

Eurasian integration

 Eurasian Integration Including Iran Proceeds Despite US “Maximum Pressure” Campaign

Collapses in Australia

As more Australian businesses go under, there are warnings that the past six months is only the beginning with things set to get worse. 

A credit creation theory of banking

 Yves here. This is deceptively important post. We’ve regularly mentioned that mainstream economists and the monetary economists at the Fed and presumably many other central banks adhere to the “loanable funds” theory of investment and lending. That model posits that loans come from a pre-existing pool of savings. The credit view, which the Bank of England, and even Greenspan and Bernanke have effectively admitted is how things really work, is that banks create loans out of thin air, and simultaneously, the related deposit. The check on this process is the cost of money (the central bank’s policy rate). This model, unlike the loanable funds story, explains how central bank policy influences credit and money supply growth.

How Monetary Policy Affects Bank Lending and Financial Stability: A ‘Credit Creation Theory of Banking’ Explanation

Depleted uranium shells for Ukraine?

 

Iraq and the Pathologies of Primacy

 Iraq and the Pathologies of Primacy by Stephen Wertheim 

SITREP 3/19/23: AND Weekend Mailbag Answers Extravaganza

 From Simplicius https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-31923-and-weekend-mailbag

Simplicius on the age of regression

 Age of Regression is upon us

No reverse gear

 From ‘The Duran’ 

Simplicius answers some questions

 He seems to be one of the better commenters around. But nobody is perfect and their interest in these problems waxes and wanes.

Saturday Reader's Mailbag Extravaganza - (3/11/23) - Answers

Bhadrakumar on the Afghan situation

 Foreign devils on the road to Afghanistan

Gilbert Doctorow on the current situation in Ukraine and Europe

The Washington scenario in phase two is to fight Russia to the last European 

Already people are taking about post-Ukraine word

 This fromDouglas McGregor 

Bhadrakumar on Saudi-Iran rapprochement

 In Indian Punchline “ The agreement announced on Friday in Beijing regarding the normalisation of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran and the reopening of their embassies is a historic event. It goes way beyond an issue of Saudi-Iranian relations. China’s mediation signifies that we are witnessing a profound shift of the tectonic plates in the geopolitics of the 21st century. ”

Alistair Crooke on western intelligence institutions

 HOW COULD WESTERN INTELLIGENCE HAVE GOT IT WRONG, AGAIN? THEY DIDN’T. THEY HAD OTHER PURPOSES

An update from Douglas Mcgregor

 

Another emerging confrontation in Sahel

 Coups, Chaos, and the Crumbling of the Francafique: the Widening War between East and West in Africa’s Sahel

Another Scott Ritter interview on the overall picture

 

A reality check for Modi Govt’s G20 ambitions

 A reality check for Modi Govt’s G20 ambitions

“A plausible explanation could be that after being threatened with a regime change orchestrated by the western intelligence — starting with the BBC documentary, followed by the Hindenburg report, and culminating in George Soros’s prognosis of a “democratic revival” in India — the ruling elite panicked.”

And from ‘the Duran’ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfrTlBvstOw

Here is one from Big Serge, one of the best articles I have seen so far

 Russo-Ukrainian War: Schrodinger’s Offensive

Bhadrakumar on Adani

 Reports of Adani’s eclipse are greatly exaggerated

Changing face of war from Simplicius

 Changing face of war

Ukraine update

 

Indian PM offers hints to Russia in critical speech

Indian PM offers hints to Russia in critical speech ;

“Does the Modi quote reinforce the argument that New Delhi is speaking with a forked tongue?

Indian foreign policy mandarins disagree with that notion. They maintain that this is a sign of the changing times, where an “India First” foreign policy is the need of the hour. New Delhi decides for itself, and its independent foreign policy cannot be subject to any kind of coercions.

India, which is home to one-fifth of the world’s population, deserves the right to form and hold its own position and to weigh its own interests in a multipolar world.”

On the Chinese initiatives

 

And from Moon of Alabama

One year update on Ukraine war from Alexander Mercouris

 

Update by Bhadrakumar

 Russia’s Ukraine offensive in suspended animation

Another Ukraine update, this time from Simplicius

 Simplicious and Big Serge do not report daily but seem to come up with well reasoned and fact based reports.SitRep 2/23: Putin, Prigozhin, PMC's and PMR's Prigozhin saga seems to be temporarily resolved.

Reversing Brexit

 

Possible Ukraine offensive

 

Overall view of the military situation in Ukraine

 COMPLEX, COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS FROM SIMPLICIUS76

Four in all. If some of the links do not work, copy the link and pate in the browser. Some are discussed in the comments section of https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/ukraine-open-thread-2023-41.html#comments

Emmanuel Todd interviews about Ukraine

 A short one and a longer one 

Wagner chief envisages a two year conflict

 From various sources including Gilbert Doctorow

Ray McGovern, Larry Johnson and Gilbert Doctorow Discuss the Potential for an Armistice in Ukraine

 

On the Hersh report

 There have been several discussions from John Helmer, MoA, Alexander Mercouris, The Duran and others, some of them differing from Hersh. Here is a brief discussion from Scott Ritter in Judging Freedom.

The Duran Interview with NoamChomsky

 

Brian Berletic hosts China-Russia historical interactions discussion

 

IN-DEPTH: Chinese-Russian History with Mark Sleboda & Carl Zha

Seymour Hersh on Nord Stream sabotage

How America Took Out The Nord Stream Pipeline

See also https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/02/seymour-hersh-navy-divers-spooks-norway-took-out-nordstream-2-on-bidens-orders-using-timer.html

Yves Smith discusses Russian budget deficit in January 2023

 Russia’s Budget Deficit Jumps Amid Plunging Oil Revenues see also the comments for some clarifications

An assessment of the overall situation in Ukraine by Douglas Macgregor

 

Shirt interview with Lucas Leiroz, a Brazilian journalist.

Travels of Pran Puri

 The story with pictures via 

The curious case of Pran Puri, the 18th century travelling monk who was discovered and forgotten from scroll.in

Isolating Russia

 US Fails Miserably in Efforts to Isolate Russia by Conor Gallagher 

RoundTable 46: Gonzalo Lira with Brian Berletic. US-China tensions and other stuff

 

Brian is good as usual but there is some confusing stuff from Gonzalo Lira. Not great stuff.

Subhangi Swarup

A review of her book ‘Latitudes of Longing’

https://openthemagazine.com/author/shubhangi-swarup/ 

Douglas Macgregor update

 

Another about K.Viswanath (in Telugu)

 

Saravanan Natarajan describes a film og K. Viswanath

 https://www.facebook.com/saravanan.natarajan.319/posts/pfbid02PpcNabqLMJwLV2M62ALzFCkHfoL35cwTvR3JFKDDrhZ8dwnAEibnguum1Ny5HdDwl?__cft__%5B0%5D=AZWfpDXcxmgNLhjzBaiWqrACbWeDwqiQ0a3JhWP7bl71yzQ7YgL7z1loMv_5mE8FC6kBAx4500W0g-KU9aQ7dTSPTg69_-HyUa8prGcaBwRncYPp2PReCvXFHy4KhKBIOx_a1y04vmXTbfVOmDn_C9QsPQjLC0MaLsPd-myVlkvONw&__tn__=-UK-R%5D-R

K. Viswanath

Ian Welsh on Hungary’s purge of senior military officers

 What Hungary’s Purge of Senior Military Officers Can Teach Us All

MoA on Russiagate

 https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/02/on-the-media-of-russiagate-and-related-fake-stories.html#more

John Helmer on changes in the Russian economy

 THE VLADIMIR KUTS LONG-DISTANCE EFFECT — SANCTIONS AND GEOGRAPHY ARE REPLACING THE RUSSIAN OLIGARCHY WITH STATE PLANNING, PRODUCING A BETTER GROWTH RATE THAN THE US, GERMANY

Bhadrakumar on the recent drone attack on Iran

 The West sees Iran in a new way

Big Serge on how Moscow became the capital of Russia

 https://mobile.twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1525569581124681728

The Duran on the military possibilities in Ukraine with Scott Ritter