Alastair Crooke on Kellog plan follow ups

https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/04/28/kellogg-framework-disaster-for-trump/

On Paigham attack

https://www.livemint.com/news/india/pahalgam-terror-attack-pakistan-denies-any-role-we-have-nothing-to-do-with-it-11745398989014.html

Aurelian tries to explain war

https://aurelien2022.substack.com/p/what-is-this-war-of-which-you-speak "So in this essay I will try to do two things. One is to explain in simple terms the words and concepts involved in this “debate,” and to set out what people would actually mean, if they were only capable of using them correctly. The other is to ask what all this talk of “war with Iran” and “war with China” actually signifies, and whether those who talk airily of such things have any idea what they are talking about. (Short answer, no.)"

Alastair Crooke on Ukraine and Iran

https://thealtworld.com/alastair_crooke/a-trump-deal-juggling-war-easy-war-and-negotiation "Aurelien observes: “So we are dealing with limited horizons; limited imagination and limited experience. But there’s one other determining factor: The U.S. system is recognised to be sprawling, conflictual – and, as a result, largely impervious to outside influence – and even to reality. Bureaucratic energy is devoted almost entirely to internal struggles, which are carried out by shifting coalitions in the administration; in Congress; in Punditland and in the media. But these struggles are, in general, about [domestic] power and influence – and not about the inherent merits of an issue, and [thus] require no actual expertise or knowledge”. “The system is large and complex enough that you can make a career as an ‘Iran expert’, say, inside and outside government, without ever having visited the country or speaking the language – by simply recycling standard wisdom in a way that will attract patronage. You will be fighting battles with other supposed ‘experts’, within a very confined intellectual perimeter, where only certain conclusions are acceptable”."

John Helmer and Ray McGovern with ‘Dialogue Works’, wide ranging discussion

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgG4ZmTZQww

A Tik-Tok message about China and America

https://www.tiktok.com/@00panchopantera/video/7493046392588422431?q=Tarifs%20china%20revolution&t=1745442332850 via https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1EtbtbK-Sw

Dani Rodrick and Tyler Cowen discuss tariffs

https://utk.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Embed.aspx?id=f1f58256-87ce-4613-a453-b2c0014f28e0 check also https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/04/my-debate-with-dani-rodrik-about-tariffs-and-free-trade.html#comments

Trump tariff plans

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/04/phase-1-impose-tariffs-phase-2-phase-3-profit.html#more Every single person who works for the White House on trade seems to have a different idea of how to (ab)use the tariffs. There seems to be no big common plan to which they are all aligned to. This won't work.

Gandhi on Palestine, 1938

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/18aZPdsuVi/

‘Dialogue Works’ update on Iran and other conflicts

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZBrlsNJM_k

Silvana Mangano in ‘Bitter Rice’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MglLWA9_y8k

Padmini -Ragini dances

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXs5-fHUGr8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WkX9hcaeTFM

John Helmer on the Witkoff negotiations

https://johnhelmer.net/strike-for-strike-in-trumps-sanctions-war-how-australias-attack-on-rusals-alumina-in-queensland-has-triggered-russias-attack-on-rio-tintos-copper/#more-91388 with Ray McGovern at Dialogue Works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7enFebtNyOU

Two from Sachs, mentioning India

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxYng1ry4TU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qEuS-q7xLbc

Alastair Crooke at ‘The Duran’ on the conflict with Iran

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVg-9EKLuqY

Is Hindi dividing India?

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/4/10/indias-language-war-why-is-hindi-causing-a-north-south-divide

Mark Sleboda on the current conflicts

discusses india not willing to break with west at 1:07 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKJe6l8v0IA

The Duran on Trump tariffs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQg9Zq9TsvM

Simplicius on Trump

partly behind a paywall https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/maga-stroika-heralds-new-age "As an accelerationist of sorts, I do ultimately judge Trump’s actions as positive for the world’s development, no matter what they lead to, because a shake up of a terminally sclerotic system is better than wading on through a global malaise with no end."

A discussion of agreement-incapable USA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SY0uJH-z2To

America’s LNG problem

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/04/us-lng-crippled-as-australia-seizes-us1-5b-trade-overnight/ US LNG crippled as Australia seizes US$1.5b trade overnight

Scott Ritter update on Ukraine and Iran at Judging Freedom

He seems reasonable and les strident when he is with the judge https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1uwOl0AYD94

Arvind Subramanian on Amir Khan

https://scroll.in/article/1080978/arvind-subramanian-from-amir-khan-to-bandish-bandits-a-50-year-musical-odyssey-in-raag-marwa

Larry Johnson and Lawrence Wilkerson on the possibilities of nuclear war

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7r_rn7Tj-k

Alexander Mercouris on Ukraine negotiations

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JDOCQGxRMuM

Different opinions on Trump tariffs

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/trumps-liberation-day-another-pr/comments yves Smith https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/04/trump-deploys-his-tariff-wrecking-ball-how-much-will-the-us-suffer-along-with-most-of-the-rest-of-the-world.html

End of Globalization, from The Duran

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLvY6xpKoIs

On the contradictions of Trump’s methods by Sam Gindin

https://nonsite.org/the-man-who-would-be-king-method-in-trumps-madness-contradictions-in-trumps-method/

Tracy-Widom distribution

seems applical in many situations https://www.quantamagazine.org/beyond-the-bell-curve-a-new-universal-law-20141015/

Shift from Smith to List by Alastair Crooke

https://www.unz.com/acrooke/transactional-weakness-tips-the-balance-of-power-hold-to-no-illusions-there-is-nothing-beyond-this-reality/

Bran Berletic on Trump

More of the same. He was one f the first who did not trust Trump. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43C2N890n9k

Trump worse than Biden says Scott Ritter

scott Ritter seems somewhat balanced when he is with Judge Napolitano https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zj1OzDFeeA see also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-tNbzgirHmE

Karl Sanchez on the current situation around Ukraine

https://karlof1.substack.com/p/lavrov-crooke-trump-and-typepad-woes

Alastair Crooke latest with Judging Freedom

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IOH26vNl0xM

Celebrities about Ghantasala, Telugu singer

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=stfgwDuNcNg Bharadwaja takes a comprehensive look at Ghantasala's takent and legacy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pMJkw1bZOKU

Two from Gilbert Doctorow

Trump pissed off with Putin https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2025/03/30/latest-twist-in-the-ceasefire-talks-trump-says-he-is-pissed-off-with-putin/ The growth of Russian economy https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2025/03/30/sometimes-mainstream-media-tell-the-truth/

Turkiye developments?

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/03/increasing-alignment-between-the-us-and-turkiye-means-trouble.html

The difficulties in translating Marx

https://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v47/n06/peter-e.-gordon/hair-splitting?utm_campaign=1034015_20250329%20ICYMI&utm_medium=email&utm_source=LRB%20email&dm_i=7NIQ,M5UN,2DZSC3,1XS7D,1

Another way to end the Ukraine crisis

https://www.indianpunchline.com/a-third-way-to-end-the-war-in-ukraine/

Chas Freeman on chalice world and changing alliances

https://www.youtube.com/live/hzgsUuMqXIM

Electronic Intifada on ‘anti-Hamas protests’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXFHi4LWDbY

Bhadrakumar on possible Iran war

https://www.indianpunchline.com/talk-of-us-iran-war-is-all-a-load-of-baloney/

From Professor Marandi

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ-zHf2VDow

One big war seems near, latest from Alastair Crooke

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXXwCyt9dHk Karl Sanchez elaborates https://karlof1.substack.com/p/trumps-targets-gaza-and-iran

Controversial interview by Scott Ritter

He seems to say that Palestine is a ghost that many outsiders are chasing. i do not remember any videos where he spoke to palestians. He also gives a scenario of the destruction of Iran. He is more circumspect in his interviews at Judging Freedom'. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArEAlNeyq9U A very different view the next day https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ujKl3SJUkaM

Putin speech to Russian business leaders

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pm7_6LCkvQE http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/76474

The drone dilemma by Simplicius

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/solving-the-drone-dilemma-can-russia

Steven Witkoff with Tucker Carlson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acvu2LBumGo Chapters: 0:00 What Witkoff Has Learned as Trump’s Global Negotiator 4:10 Negotiating With Israel, Hamas, and Qatar 12:50 Will We Achieve Peace Between Israel and Hamas? 19:09 Why Corporate Media Hates Witkoff 22:45 How the Loss of His Son Changed the Way Witkoff Negotiates Hostage Situations 29:55 Israel’s Goals 36:47 Trump’s Plan for Gaza 44:29 How Witkoff Negotiated the Ceasefire 50:52 Should We Be Concerned About Jordan, Egypt, and Turkey? 54:36 Negotiating With Russia and Ukraine 1:09:18 Putin Praying for Trump After He Was Shot 1:12:55 Will There Be Elections in Ukraine Again? 1:18:35 Donald Trump vs. Washington Warmongers 1:26:19 Trump’s Letter to Iran commentary by Larry Johnson https://sonar21.com

Turmoil in Israel

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9ptqxUN0so

Weakly roundup from Judge Napolitano

Ray McGovernthinks that there may not be a war with Iran https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c3EFQ6xsuBM

China delays BYD factory in Mexico; afraid of leaks to USA

https://gizmodo.com/china-delays-byd-factory-in-mexico-over-concerns-tech-will-leak-to-american-rivals-2000578281

Others seem to be coming around to the views of Brian Berletic

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fe8h0NIx5aE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEjbxIpviY4

US plans to sanction Cuban medical missions

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/03/caribbean-countries-rise-up-against-us-plans-to-sanction-cuban-medical-missions-around-the-world.html

Finally Scott Ritter calls Trump an idiot

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bn3Bm1SgbmM&t=279s

A comprehensive look at Ukraine and Israel by Alastair Crooke

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iu1l9Yk-yMg&t=2263s

William Browder RIP

He is one of the mathematicians whose papers i read wg hen i was a student. A video about his mathematical development https://www.simonsfoundation.org/2017/06/14/william-browder/

Tulsi Gabbard withdraws Daniel Davis name for a senior appointment

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/tulsi-gabbard-withdraws-daniel-daviss-appointment-for-senior-intelligence-role-over-israel-criticism/articleshow/118976531.cms

Scott Ritter still optimistic about Trump

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pk-78DFyb8A&t=7870s

Trump vs Deep State

"In other words, it appears that Trump uses the Deep State when he sees fit, and opposes it when it crosses him." from https://scheerpost.com/2025/03/10/patrick-lawrence-the-epstein-follies/ by Patrick Lawrence.

Brian Berletic theory

seems correct to me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8Z3SaZXj3M scott Ritter on Twitter(X): I’ve lost faith in the good faith of the Trump negotiating team. A 30-day ceasefire would be a boon to Ukraine. A chance to stabilize the frontlines. To strip all tactical and operational advantages Russia has accrued through the blood and sacrifice of their soldiers. And once Ukraine recovers, then to sit at a table where a rejuvenated Ukraine rejects Russia’s conditions for peace. Trump’s team has not negotiated in good faith. And the fact that this proposal is offered after Ukraine carries out a massive strike against Moscow? Russia will reject this ridiculous proposal. And hopefully escalate the violence to such a scale that the US will realize that there needs to be a realistic peace proposal agreed to in writing before any ceasefire takes hold. One that includes the withdrawal of all Ukrainian forces from Constitutional Russia. The Ukrainian troops can leave voluntarily. Or die. Trump isn’t serious about peace. And Ukraine will reap the whirlwind as a result.

Jeffrey Sachs reviews the last 30 years of some conflicts

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cbFvPFgJW5c

Understanding Trump

“Kayfabe” It’s professional wrestler talk for the way they talk about each other and lead matches to a pre-determined outcome. It’s not exactly choreographed move by move, but they all know the library of available moves, how to drop the other guy on his head in a way that doesn’t break his neck, and so on. In many ways it’s more like ballroom dancing than an actual competition. They make each other look good right up to the end- and they both know what that’s going to be because they’ve been told by the promoters. Trump was part of the WWE, by the way. Watching some of the TV shows might help you understand Trump’s methods. https://sonar21.com/trumps-empty-threats-to-pressure-russia-falling-on-deaf-ears/

Putin's Roundtable Discussion with Employees and Wards of the Defenders of the Fatherland Foundation

long read https://karlof1.substack.com/p/putins-roundtable-discussion-with

A comment in Simplicius substack

Vladimir Putin: “Negotiating with Americans is like playing chess with a pigeon. The pigeon knocks over the pieces, shits on the board and struts around like it won the game.” Not sure whether Putin said this. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-3725-eus-mega-billion-bid/comments

Russian peace plan

https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/russia-reparations-peace-details

Larry Wilkerson and Chas Freeman are sceptical of Trump

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yawRhqOdp_s

The Electronic Intifada on US-Hamas talks

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gaZlDVXZDEA From Steve Witkoff https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZFE92EG-xqA

Brian Berletic views are different from many other commenters

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EufxrTk3yoQ

Ray McGovern on Russiagate

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRNFAOr1scg one of the authors mentioned https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeff_Gerth check also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tq1uQ6QHO88

From Marat Khairullin about the Ukraine war front

https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/analysis-of-the-political-and-military

Jeffrey Sachs at ‘Judging Freedom’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6n0iD_xRFjg

Oscar for ‘No Other Land’

https://www.middleeasteye.net/trending/no-other-land-oscar-outrage-israel

Interesting article from Alistair Crooke

various doubrs in the comments. https://www.unz.com/acrooke/america-as-republic-not-as-empire-europes-sound-and-fury-after-jaw-dropping-pivots-in-u-s-policy/

Daniel Davis on Trump-Zelensky meeting

https://youtu.be/zlcc5tKpWQs?si=sbKyhGy3_iOZjhuo

Dimplomacy ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=laUulwxQ8j8

Transactional president to the fore, Colonel Macgregor

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svq55tP3MCM see also the post and comments https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/02/trump-will-end-his-option-of-walking-away-from-project-ukraine-with-his-minerals-deal.html

MoA on Trump’s plan for Ukraine

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/02/does-trump-really-have-a-plan-for-ukraine.html#more see also https://sonar21.com/trump-and-europe-fail-to-realize-that-russia-has-a-vote/ A discussion of MoA post https://karlof1.substack.com/p/the-ukraine-conflicts-legal-issues

Trump confusion; different views

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwsWAsArSqU&t=1248s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2zRRr0CkmU&t=2525s

Trump vs Deep State

https://scheerpost.com/2025/02/17/patrick-lawrence-trump-vs-the-deep-state/ "Let me put it this way: In the case of Trump vs. the deep state, there is promise in the undertaking, but I have my doubts. He does not seem to me to have the gravitas, the depth of intelligence and all-around seriousness, to get this very necessary task done well and effectively. Engaging the deep state is not the same as sitting opposite a rival property developer at a mahogany table in Manhattan. Trump does not seem sufficiently equipped to wage war against operatives whose perverse savvy in the methods of subterfuge is well-tested and well-proven."

Fog harvesting in the news again

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgw3l7p79po

Working groups

from Riyadh meeting https://sonar21.com/ukraines-zelensky-forgets-the-first-rule-of-crisis-management-if-youre-in-a-hole-stop-digging/

Brian Berletic skectical about Trump

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9AwbTvJbz0

Ray McGovern with Garland Nixon discusses the history of relations with Russia

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihjILCDQeM4

MoA on Trump’s punishment of Europe

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/02/where-trumps-punishment-of-europe-should-lead-to.html#more

Simplicius on what might happen in Europe

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/the-games-begin-us-and-russian-top/comments

Spring in the air in US-Russia ties, from Indian Punchline

https://www.indianpunchline.com/spring-is-in-the-air-in-us-russia-ties-as-trumps-revolution-gains-momentum/

Wheeler’s quest

https://www.quantamagazine.org/john-wheeler-saw-the-tear-in-reality-20240925/

Scott Ritter is very enthusiastic about Trump and a deal with Russia

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6NafJT_-ac

Aftermath of Vance speech by Alexander Mercouris

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=prY5UdJNPq8

The Duran discussion with Michael Hudson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFmh93MKvmM similar ideas from https://sociology.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/faculty/fourcade/AJSII.pdfby Marion Foucade

John Helmer about the negotiating teams of Russia and USA

https://johnhelmer.net/the-contradictions-and-certainties-in-the-trump-putin-negotiations-are-simple-enough-for-a-4-year-old-child-to-understand-and-say-aloud/#more-91091 Will they negotiate about rare minerals? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ivdsyNvFq_8&t=150s

Alastair Crooke and Professor Marandi, from February 7

https://x.com/AlastairCrooke/status/1887575200402731174 A discussion https://karlof1.substack.com/p/chat-between-crooke-and-lukyanov

Scott Ritter tries to decipher Trumo’s Gaza gambit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yxHr5YVgOTI from 55 minutes onwards

Alex Krainer with Dimanof ‘Dialogue Works’

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwFwdZeQ5B0

Simplicius, the thinker on Trump-Putin conversation(s)

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/double-decker-special-hysteria-ignites Larry Johnson is more optimistic https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAaxn40zgTQ

The story of ‘Babul mora’

https://maddy06.blogspot.com/2010/12/story-of-babul-mora.html https://atulsongaday.me/2019/05/27/baabul-mora-naihar-chhuto-hi-jaaye/ https://www.parrikar.org/hindustani/bhairavi/

The Distortion Is Inherent in the Signal

cosma Shalizi's take off on a post of Thomas Farrell http://bactra.org/weblog/inherent-distortion.html?fbclid=IwY2xjawIVhQNleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHS6i37135pX1X5Ep5RC0rlle5a_qUPs7B7Xnq95I4zZhDZRQBCXvRjfxFA_aem_BNRcMIxt11y4_L1GlIb6Eg Conclusion: Social media is a machine for "creat[ing] publics with malformed collective understandings".

Radical Lunacy says Chas Freeman

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwi2Ma-7Hyg

Indian Punchline on Trump’s Gaza plan

https://www.indianpunchline.com/netanyahu-entraps-trump-in-a-quagmire/

Trump plan forbearance and Netanyahu seems happy

https://www.rt.com/news/612188-trumps-gaza-plan-history-netanyahu/

Rubio suggests that US May be moving to a shores of influence model

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/02/rubio-its-not-normal-for-the-world-to-have-a-unipolar-power.html#more

John Helmer with Nima of ‘Dialogue Works’

https://johnhelmer.net/the-revolutionary-moment-for-russia-podcast-with-nima-alkhorshid/#more-91002

Exodus

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjNTxhSxC2I

Larry Johnson with Alistair Crooke

https://sonar21.com/is-trump-positioning-for-a-no-deal-with-russia-or-not/

Patrick Lancaster reports from Kursk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HN6T32c7mQ

John Helmer on Putin Oligarchs vs Trump oligarchs

https://johnhelmer.net/the-oligarchs-picnic-whats-on-the-menu-when-trumps-oligarchs-negotiate-with-putins-oligarchs/#more-90972 "Between 1911 and 1915, during World War I, Robert Michels, an Italian sociologist, explained how commonplace this was. He not only described the inevitability that oligarchs would come to dominate the governments and opposition organisations on both sides of that war; this he called the “iron law of oligarchy”. He also reported that the war itself would accelerate the process by which this oligarch domination on both sides would dictate the outcome to suit the common interests of them both." see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_oligarchy

What ceasefire?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9nvRRX9AsY A DIFFERENT VIEW https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1os_PXbCs

Presidents and emperors from Matt Hoh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43ZyYvRGUuU

Donald Trump wants us to listen to this

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GqEsfQFaU5I

Mark Sleboda on Ukraine war

not over yet https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LIRj9AiN45U

Trump’s strategy

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/01/to-avoid-fighting-large-conflicts-trump-is-creating-smaller-ones.html#more

A bleak prognosis from Alastair Crooke

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GCPC6433K0 it seems to be all about what Trump is going to do https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ndAUs8_IcU